Showing posts with label House. Show all posts
Showing posts with label House. Show all posts

Thursday, November 10, 2011

How a Financial Pro Lost His House

People need to take lessons from the Dad, who lived during the depression.
But prices just kept rising, and when people kept buying, that made it seem safer. I knew from my work as a financial adviser that following the crowd could be costly. But like everyone else, I felt safer in a crowd.
We didn’t find anything we liked with Mitch, but one day in September 2003 Cori spotted a for-sale-by-owner sign in a really nice neighborhood. We ended up buying the house and paid the asking price of $575,000. (When we tried to negotiate on price, the owners were amused; it just wasn’t that kind of market.)
We borrowed 100 percent of the purchase price. In fact, I was told I could borrow even more if I wanted. I had perfect credit and a solid income that was growing. But even so, when the lender approved us at 100 percent, it was more than I had expected. I remember thinking something like “Wow. I guess if they’re willing to lend it to us it must be O.K.”
 And a few years later.
By then, we owed over $200,000 more than our original loan balance.
Borrowing that much had seemed to make sense when the value of the home was still rising substantially every year, taking our net worth higher with it. But at that point, there was no way we could sell the home for anywhere near what we owed. Some of my friends were already doing short sales, where the bank agrees to let you sell the house for less than your loan balance. I was also aware you had to be three months behind in your payments before the bank would talk to you about the possibility.
At first, I dismissed the idea of a short sale. Late that summer, I sat down with a really close friend in Las Vegas, someone I looked up to. He cut to the heart of the matter right away: Why, he wanted to know, were we still making the payments?
Then here comes the reality.
I remained troubled by the ethical implications of what I was doing, but I soon started seeing some of my friend’s arguments echoed in the work of Brent T. White, a law professor at the University of Arizona. He and others were arguing that homeowners should act more like companies — taking into account legal and economic reasons for stopping a regular payment rather than “perceived moral obligations.”
That was reassuring in the dead of night while I sat in front of the computer trying to make sense of the world financial markets and my own personal situation. I remember being relieved at discovering a way to frame my decision.
But we didn’t know what would happen in the harsh light of day, and we were scared to death. Would we be kicked out of our house? What would the neighbors think? What would the children think? We worried about the stress on our relationship and even the survival of our marriage. I felt like a complete failure.
We looked into a mortgage modification, thinking it might let us keep the house and rent it out after we moved. But the offer from Wells Fargo, which owned our loans by then, was too modest. That meant we could either walk away from the house or work with the bank to do an orderly short sale
Read it all

Monday, September 26, 2011

The Case for Downsizing Your Home

First, some numbers. Even if the mortgage on your house is paid off, taxes and upkeep can still put a sizable hole in your wallet each year. Given that annual property taxes nationwide average about 1 percent of a home's value (according to the Tax Foundation) and annual maintenance bills average from 1 to 3 percent (according to Freddie Mac), carrying costs alone on a $500,000 home total about $15,000 a year. Move to a $350,000 home and the figure drops to $10,500. Put another way, you need a nest egg of $375,000 just to cover taxes and upkeep on the former house (assuming a 4 percent rate of withdrawal annually from your prudently invested retirement savings) and a nest egg of $262,500 for the latter
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Monday, January 24, 2011

They did what to that house?! Remodel horror stories

A little bit on the lighter side this morning.


These are homes that have been "renovated" to feature things like pipes running through living rooms, bedrooms strung together like garlic cloves, and fluorescent floors.

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Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Home starts rises slightly, building permits fall

Housing starts are up 28 percent from their bottom in April 2009. Still, they are down 73 percent from their peak in January 2006 and 40 percent below the 1 million annual rate that analysts say is consistent with healthy housing markets.
The industry is "showing signs of stabilization and perhaps even a faint pulse," wrote Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR Inc. in New York.
Read it all

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

slowest growth in the number of new households since the second World War

According to IHS, there are two, actually: The fall in immigration and the growing number of young people moving back in with their parents amid a frustratingly tough job market. These factors have contributed to slowest growth in the number of new households since the second World War.
The underlying reason why inventory remains unnervingly high is essentially the same however you see the troubled housing market: Overall economic weakness – in particular, unemployment, which federal officials last week reported was unchanged from August at 9.6%.
Here are some more detailed stats
Admittedly, the trends in immigration and "doubling up" aren't easy to track. Hard data on immigration does not exist, but IHS points out that households headed by those foreign born under the age of 35 dropped by 338,000 in 2009.
What's more, it appears more young people are moving back in with their parents or doubling up with others to save money. The number of households headed by 15 to 24 year-olds fell by 124,000 in 2009 from the previous year, while the number of households with six or more people increased by 355,000 or 8% during the same period. In fact, the number of households headed by all younger age groups – those in the 15 to 24, 25 to 34 and 35 to 44 age brackets -- fell in 2009, while the number in all the older age brackets increased.
 Read it all

Monday, October 4, 2010

Benefits of homeownership challenged

I think the last 10 years skewed the data.  Homeownership was good, until affordability products were created and blew up a bubble in housing prices beyond what people could afford.  I think  if we were to get rid of these programs or products and let prices drop back to down.  Plus, if we based our financing on 30-year or 15-year loans with the proper income verification, I think homeownership would have more advantages again.  Finally, I think homeownerhip is a consumption item, not really an investment item.  A 20 unit apartment building is an investment item.

Data cited by the Philadelphia Fed study's authors, Li and Yang, show that home equity as a share of a household's net worth has declined during the recent economic downturn, as it did from the mid-1980s to the late '90s.

That is because the ratio of mortgage amount to home value has risen since the mid-1980s. In addition, there has been an increase in cash-out refinancing, resulting in many homeowners' taking out more money than they actually owed on their houses.

Even the argument that "housing is a relatively safe asset that pays off in the long run" has its problems, Li and Yang's report says, because of the volatility of local markets.

Sunday, October 3, 2010

6 Things You Think Add Value to Your Home -- But Really Don't

You can call some of these items bubble improvements.
  1. Swimming Pools
  2. Overbuilding for the Neighborhood
  3. Extensive Landscaping
  4. High-End Upgrades
  5. Wall-to-Wall Carpeting (call me old-fashion I like hard wood floors)
  6. Invisible Improvements


The Bottom Line
It is difficult to imagine spending thousands of dollars on a home-improvement project that will not be reflected in the home's value when it comes time to sell. There is no simple equation for determining which projects will garner the highest return, or the most bang for your buck. Some of this depends on the local market and even the age and style of the house. Homeowners frequently must choose between an improvement that they would really love to have (the in-ground swimming pool) and one that would prove to be a better investment.

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Thursday, September 23, 2010

Banks are mishandling foreclosures and documents

The major banks are mishandling foreclosures.  It's not just GMAC/Ally bank and the robo-signer it's other banks.  BofA is now evicting people that currently owe nothing on their homes.

The bank recently foreclosed on a Florida property that doesn't even have a mortgage, the Sun Sentinel of Fort Lauderdale reported. The foreclosure was started in 2008 by Countrywide, the notorious subprime mill the bank acquired in a fire sale that year. It continued with the proceedings even after the current owner, Jason Grodensky, paid cash for the house last December.
and
In another 2009 case, the bank went a step further. Not satisfied simply to lock out a Pittsburgh-area homeowner, Angela Iannelli, who was current on her payments, the bank decided to shut off the utilities and take her pet parrot. She is suing the bank, which apologized for the "stress" its errors caused, though surely BofA was privately pleased with itself for at least having targeted someone with an actual mortgage.
Read it all

August home sales

Here's the analysis:
Economists forecast the National Association of Realtors will say home sales rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of about 4.1 million, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters. If the report comes in as expected, it would be up about 6 percent from 3.83 million a month earlier.
And the bad news.
With sales weakening, the number of homes lingering on the market has swelled to nearly 4 million. At July's pace of sales, it would take more than a year to sell all those homes and get them off the market. A healthy level is about six months.
And I just posted that 7 million Americans are not paying their mortgage.  Some of these people will get loan mods only to re-default later.

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Wednesday, September 22, 2010

U.S. Home Prices Fell 3.3% in July From Year Earlier

This was a bigger that expected decline.  Here's a quote:
Prices fell 0.5 percent from June, the Federal Housing Finance Agency in Washington said in a report today. Economists had projected prices to fall 0.2 percent from the previous month, based on the average of 15 estimates in a Bloomberg survey. The agency revised the previously reported May-to-June decline to 1.2 percent from 0.3 percent.
Foreclosures are boosting the supply of available properties and reducing prices, even as mortgage rates tumble to record lows. The time it would take to clear the market of homes for sale was 12.5 months in July, the highest in more than a decade of data, according to the National Association of Realtors. Banks seized a record 95,364 properties from delinquent borrowers in August, according to RealtyTrac Inc., an Irvine, California-based seller of housing data.
I wonder what the decline would be if mortgage rates were in the 5.25% range?  Even with these low rates it still not sparking a demand to purcahse homes.

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Homebuilding industry years away from recovery

These two paragraphs sum it up quiet well.  This follows up an earlier post.
Even with a modest rise in construction last month, the pace of building would need to at least double to signal a healthy market and contribute in a meaningful way to job growth, according to most economists. They don't see that happening until the middle of the decade.
Builders are competing with millions of foreclosures and other distressed properties that show no signs of abating. They are unlikely to ramp up construction until those are cleared away and demand for new homes picks up.
And home building usually helps the economy out of recession, but might have to do it without the boost in construction due to all the homes in the foreclosure pipeline.

Home construction jumps 10.5 pct in August

This might seem like a big jump, but historically seasonally adjusted rate has been 2 to 3 times the number of homes currently being built.

Construction of new homes and apartments rose 10.5 percent in August from a month earlier to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 598,000, the Commerce Department said Tuesday. That's the highest level since April.
And the real news
Housing starts are up 25 percent from their bottom in April 2009, but are still down 74 percent from their peak in January 2006.
Building permit applications, a sign of future activity, grew by nearly 2 percent to an annual rate of 569,000.
This level of new home construction will be low, since there are many homes being foreclosed and entering the market.

Monday, September 20, 2010

The housing recession isn't over: CNN

Big news was that the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) declared that the recession ended in June 2009, however this very suspect.  Plus, there is CNBC declaring a double dip in the housing maket, so opinions all over the road map.  Look at this statement from Home builder Lennar

In a statement, Lennar CEO Stuart Miller conceded that while his firm was holding up better than some rivals, "high unemployment and foreclosures have continued to present challenges for the national housing market."
The spate of foreclosures is particularly problematic since it continues to add to the housing glut. And until the number of homes on the market comes down, it's tough to imagine how sales and prices will improve all that dramatically.
And this about the Los Angeles market
"Unless you let home prices fall to a level that will bring in more demand, you won't find a bottom. Home prices in many markets like California are still very high and have room to fall further," said Kenneth Naehu, managing director and head of fixed income with Bel Air Investment Advisors in Los Angeles

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Dubai Financial Center Office Vacancies Could Reach 40% On Oversupply

I like to just cover So Cal and a few other areas.  But look at the vacancy rate in Dubai.
Vacancy levels in Dubai's financial center are predicted to peak between 30% to 40% in 2011 and 2012, but then are expected to decline to 10% to 15% by 2014.
In areas outside the central business district the outlook is worse, with vacancy rates likely to increase to over 50%, the report said, adding that the emirate should consider mothballing projects or in some cases convert construction sites into other uses such as car parks or golf driving ranges
And look at the housing picture
The research is another blow to Dubai's property market, where house prices tumbled 50% during the financial crisis and are yet to recover as supply surges ahead of flagging demand.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Housing Study Finds Some Hope -- and Ample Caution -- on Market

This is opposite of the what the economist believed what will happen with housing.  This is a survey of current home owners and look what they found:
Some 78 percent of respondents said they expect home prices to hold steady or increase over the next year, according to the poll of 3,500 homeowners and renters conducted between June and July. That was up from 73 percent in a survey conducted six months earlier. Seventy percent of Americans think it is a good time to buy a house, up from 64 percent six months ago.
There is still a perception by home owners that prices will hold steady.  Here's something about their situation.
Finally, while two-thirds of Americans believe that housing is a safe investment, that figure is down 16 percentage points from 2003, when a similar survey question was asked. It is the largest drop among all investment types tracked since then.
"Consumers really have been burned by this housing cycle," says Chen. "Many people who thought they were buying into an asset that would appreciate have found themselves with negative equity. That has damaged consumer perceptions of housing as an investment and will be a constraint on housing market for some time."
 Read it all

"Keep Your Powder Dry": Housing Slump Still Not Over, Says Economist David Levy

I usually don't post videos, but this one is informative, but it's a little technical.  His opinion is like the CNBC article I post which claims the beginning of the double dip in housing.  But opinions on housing/economy are all over the place right now.  

A hot topic recently is whether home ownership is still considered the American dream.  “Home ownerships should not be purely and investment, it should be something that should make sense for your life,” Levy says. “To our clients interested in acquisitions, our general theme is keep your powder dry. The best opportunities are definitely going to come, but there's no rush.”
View it all

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Home Price Double Dip Begins

From CNBC

Well we're here.
Two new reports out today prove the consequences of oversupply of organic inventory (12.5 months on existing homes in July according to the National Association of Realtors) and the shadow inventory of foreclosed properties (estimates vary widely and wildly). CoreLogic's Home Price Index shows home prices "flat" in July as transaction volume continues to decline. "This was the first time in five months that no year-over-year gains were reported," according to the release. In June, prices were up 2.4 percent year over year. In addition, "36 states experienced price declines in July, twice the number in May and the highest number since last November when prices nationally were still declining."

Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Listing price is 55% of 2006 closing price in Fullerton

When you hear people state that price drops don't happen that often in Orange County show them this property.  You would think being 55% off would attract buyers, but no one is touching this place.

1945 West JACARANDA Pl, Fullerton, CA 92833

Drop in Fullerton